Insights

After a harrowing year, both on the economic and health front, along with disruptive changes to lifestyles and work structures, there are finally some signs of a recovery. This left the government with the very delicate task of fuelling the recovery without doing anything to dampen consumption or production sentiment.

Economy & Policy | 03 February 2021




After a harrowing year, both on the economic and health front, along with disruptive changes to lifestyles and work structures, there are finally some signs of a recovery. This left the government with the very delicate task of fuelling the recovery without doing anything to dampen consumption or production sentiment. 

 

With all due credit to the finance minister and her team, she appears to have delivered a brave and robust budget, befitting a young and aspirational nation. The proposals announced rested on 6 pillars, all of which were structured to enable the economy to recover sustainably in the short term and grow unhindered over the long term. These included, Health and Wellbeing; Physical & Financial Capital and Infrastructure; Inclusive Development for Aspirational India; Reinvigorating Human Capital; Innovation and R&D and, most importantly and in continuation of pervious initiatives, Minimum Government and Maximum Governance. Effectively, it was a budget crafted by the head and led by the heart.

 

Inclusive healthcare

Clearly prioritising healthcare over all else, the budget allocated an outlay for Health and Wellbeing of Rs 2,23,846 crore, which marked a whopping 137% increase over past allocations. Interestingly, this amount will be channelled to causes that are clearly ‘inclusive’ as they aim to provide better quality of basic health mobilizers such as clean drinking water, air and environment, in addition to the vaccine, which is a current exigency. 

 

Tangible and Intangible ROI from capital expenditure

When it came to government spending, the visible choice has been projects that will deliver tangible returns in terms of infrastructure and job creation as well as intangible returns such as better lifestyles for those at the bottom of the pyramid and greater global competitiveness for those at the top.

 

Inclusive Development for Aspirational India

The budget had a host of practical proposals and suitable allocations to uplift and support those in agriculture and allied sectors, rural India and migrant workers. Better prices, credit and wages, access to markets, improved rural infrastructure and all-round financial inclusion were some of the themes that were in focus. These measures would go a long way towards building an eco-system that would create sustainable livelihoods and thereby, boost consumption patterns among the huge untapped markets of India, which demonstrate immense potential.

 

Education, Skilling and Innovation

Leaning heavily on advancements in technology and digital learning and skilling opportunities, the budget had something for youth all along the education chain – from basic learning to higher education and widespread skilling to cutting-edge research and development. Standard-setting, accreditation, regulation and funding would form the basis of these initiatives and the aim appeared to be ensuring that the decade ahead would enable India to optimise the potential of its young and restive citizens. The unmentioned corollary would be that this form of capital investment would have a longer gestation but deliver the highest returns in future.

 

A step closer to Aatmanirbhar Bharat

When dissected for the impact that its proposals would have, not just the near-term recovery but significantly shape India`s long-term growth trajectory, the budget would score well. While a lot more could be done to encourage grass root enterprise and their financiers, the progress-triggering measures that will positively impact Aspirational India will have a cascading effect on recovery and growth at a broader level.

 

Apart from the above, the stability in tax structure for individuals and corporates is a welcome step.  This move though unexpected, will go long way in re-assuring the investors, both domestic and global.  Creation of bad bank to acquire stressed assets, though criticised by some, is a step in the right direction.  Opening up of Insurance sector by increasing the FDI limit from 49% to 74% will bring in more vibrancy and vigour to this sector.  Clear goals on disinvestment and procedural simplification on tax appeals & assessments are also being lauded.

 

Effectively, the budget was a blend of sunshine, soil and water that could go a long way to nurture the green shoots that are visible in the economy. At the same time, it touched on reforms that could see India flourish in the new normal. The biggest challenge now will be ensuring that the proposals are executed with the same intensity of spirit as the intent demonstrated in Budget 2021-22. Overall the Budget has the potential to support rapid growth and bring out the best is the objective of moving India closure towards USD 5 trillion economy. 

Copyrights © 2019 Inditrade Capital Ltd. All Right Reserved.

Designed,Developed & Content Powered by  Accord Fintech Pvt. Ltd.